model_demographics01

This example demonstrates the implementation of vital dynamics (births, deaths, and aging) to reproduce the population pyramid of the United Kingdom over the period 1950 to 1980. Simulations include no infections or contagion, and have only one node.

Sweep outcomes are replicates of four model configurations: initialization of ages at steady-state with steady-state approximation for birth and mortality rates, initialization of ages at steady-state with time-varying inputs for birth rate, initialization of ages using historical data with time-varying inputs for birth rate and steady-state approximation for mortality, and initialization of ages using historical data with time-varying inputs for birth rate and mortality rates adjusted to best fit total population and age pyramid data.

Calibration outcomes demonstrate the adjustment of three age-structured mortality multipliers to best fit total population and age pyramid data.