model_measles_nga02ΒΆ
Simulations of measles transmission in Nigeria. The model is structured so that each state is implemented separately. Age-structured mortality from UN WPP reports for national estimates have been used for all states; crude birth rates are initialized using values from the 2013 Nigeria DHS and scaled in time using relative trends from the UN WPP.
Important features include:
Multi-node network used to represent regions of Nigeria at the adm02 scale.
Network infectivity contagion transfer between nodes.
Annual seasonality in measles infectivity.
Spatially varying rates of routine immunization.
Pre-specified calendar of supplemental immunization activities (SIAs).
Maternally derived immunity.
Maximum simulation duration based on elapsed time.
Weighted agents to represent multiple individuals per agent.
Age-based immunity initialization to approximate endemic transmission.
Infectivity reservoir to represent persistent exogeneous importation.
Event based notification of vaccine doses delivered by routine immunization.
Future SIA vaccines as non-contagious infections for labeling and tracking.